Return of the Stat Geek
Tom Brady has 1553 passing yards after 4 games, an average of 388.25 yards/game. At his current pace he would finish with 6212 yards. He needs to average 295 yards/game the rest of the year to break Dan Marino’s record of 5084.
However, after throwing for 517 yards in week 1 Brady’s yards have dropped every week. Brady’s passing yards/game have conformed to the following formula every week: round(passing yards/100)*100=600-(week*100). If that holds true for the entire season, in week 17 he will throw for -1000 yards. This is the dumbest stat ever.
Steve Smith (Panther variety) has 530 receiving yards in 4 games, an average of 132.5 yards/game, which projects to 2120 (NFL record is 1848 by Jerry Rice in ’95). He needs 25 yards to pass his total for last year, 554 yards in 14 games. He has at least 150 receiving yards in 3 out of 4 games, all losses. In the Panthers only win he had 2 catches for 15 yards.
The most amazing thing about Steve Smith’s 530 receiving yards is that it doesn’t lead the NFL. Wes Welker has 616 receiving yards (projects to 2464). Like Smith, he also has 150+ receiving yards in 3 out of 4 games, including 217 yards in the Patriots’ only loss of the year. He has at least 7 catches in every game and is averaging 10 catches/game. Wes Welker has 5 fewer receiving yards than the Jacksonville Jaguars (and 71 more than the Colts, but the Colts have only played 3 games).
The Cleveland Browns defense is currently ranked 9th in the NFL, but 4th in their own division. The top 3 defenses in the NFL right now are all from the AFC North. The Cincinnati Bengals have the #1 defense, the New England Patriots are dead last. It's possible that this is a sign of the end of the world, I'm consulting a Mayan calendar.
Eagles’ DE Jason Babin leads the NFL with 7 sacks. The Texans #1 pick in 2004, he had 17.5 sacks in his first 66 games, 19.5 sacks in his last 20 games.
The two worst teams in net points right now are the Chiefs (-77) and Rams (-67). The state of Missouri has been outscored by 143 points this year (an average of 17.9 points per game).
Not only are the Lions 4-0, but their average margin of victory at home is 45 points. Ok, they’ve only played 1 home game which they won 48-3, but that means they are 3-0 on the road and play their next 3 at home. In the last 2 weeks, come from behind wins over the Vikings and Cowboys, the Lions have been outscored 40-3 in the first half and outscored opponents 54-13 in the second. For the season they’ve outscored opponents 89-20 in the 2nd half, 51-10 in the 4th quarter (and 3-0 in OT).
The 4-0 Lions are halfway to matching their win total for the last 3 years combined. The win over the Cowboys this week was the 500th regular season win in franchise history (including their first 4 years as the Portsmouth Spartans).
Calvin Johnson leads the NFL with 8 TDs, he has 2 TD catches in each game.
No rookie quarterback has a negative TD to INT differential this year. No rookie quarterback has a positive TD to INT differential this year. (Newton 5 TDs – 5 INTs, Dalton 4 TDs – 4 INTs, Gabbert 2 TDs – 2 INTs).
If you’re playing the Patriots and you win the toss, don’t defer. Tom Brady has a 156.0 rating the first quarter this year. The Patriots have outscored opponents 72-34 in the first half, but have been outscored 64-63 in the second half. The Pats have scored in 15 of 16 quarters this year (all except the 3rd quarter of week 2 win over the Chargers).
The Titans are a surprising 3-1, especially when you consider that they are 32nd in rushing offense at 66.8 yards/game. Chris Johnson is averaging 2.9 yards/carry and hasn’t scored a TD, but did have his first 100-yard game of the year this week (23-101-0, 4.4/carry in 31-13 win over the Browns).
The Packers scored more points this week than either the Rams or Jaguars have scored in their first 4 games combined. The Jaguars are 32nd in the NFL in scoring at 9.8 points per game.
Steelers, Colts and Chiefs, 3 of the AFC’s 4 defending division champs, are all in last place. Though the Steelers are tied for 2nd place in the AFC North, only 1 game behind the Ravens.