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  • FootballPros.com Upset Special Challenge: Week #11



    Only four of our Upset Special Possibilties came in last week (Titans, Seahawks, Broncos & Raiders). I was stunned to not see anyone riding the Cryptkeeper's Gang. They have been a hot pick this year in this contest.

    Congratulations to msclemons for holding onto the top spot and putting some distance between himself and the rest of the field by correctly picking the Seahawks (+7) last week. Clem isn't doing bad for a guy who, to quote Turk Schonert, "couldn't pick his nose in this competition last year". He is sitting at 8 wins and a whopping 42 points. Afrocomb, darvon, cml, and red13 are parked in second place at 6 wins each. As always, full standings will be posted by the professor in this thread.

    Now, welcome to Week #11 of the FP Upset Special. Let's get busy.

    You can join us every week. You can join mid-season. If you miss a week, so what? Come back next week. We're just glad you're here. Talk smack if you want. Keep it clean and be prepared to back it up. There are some folks here at FP that really know football.

    Rules:

    • One pick per week
    • Your chosen team must be at least a (+3) underdog
    • Your chosen team must win the game outright (no 'pushes' or 'covers')
    • Season winner is the one with the most upsets correctly chosen between Week #1 through the Conference Championship Games (20 weeks all together)
    • There will be a points system to determine a winner in the event of a tie
    • Points will be accumulated by adding the game spreads for your correct picks (if you take Carolina (+4.5) and Carolina wins, you will be awarded a win and 4.5 points). Be careful making picks based on the number of points possible. Points only count if you are tied for the total wins lead when the whole contest is finished.
    • The No Upsets Option: Predict correctly that 'No Upsets' will occur in any given week and you will be awarded one win and a point total equal to the sum of all the spreads in that week's Upset Special. If you wish to exercise the 'No Upsets' Option, that prediction is due by 5 minutes prior to kickoff of the first game of the week in question. This includes Thursday Night Football and Saturday games. The 'No Upsets' option is confined to the Upset Possibilities listed in this article.
    • Picks are due no later than 5 minutes before the scheduled start of the broadcast time for your game. The FootballPros.com time stamp on your post is gospel.
    • Spread lines will be posted Thursday and will remain static throughout the week. This isn't The Sports Book at Caesar's Palace, after all.


    Prizes to be determined but may include a cool icon denoting your status as *ahem* Upset Special Top Dog, a hat or t-shirt or possibly tickets to the Super Bowl (NOT!!).

    Let's. Get it. ON!!

    Week #11 Upset Special possibilities (odds by OddsShark). Underdogs in bold. All times Eastern.

    Thurday Night Football (8:20 PM)

    • Jets @ Broncos (+6.5)


    Sunday 1:00 games
    • Bengals (+7) @ Ravens
    • Panthers (+7) @ Lions
    • Buccaneers (+14) @ Packers
    • Cowboys @ Redskins (+8)



    Sunday 4:15 games
    • Cardinals (+9.5) @ 49ers
    • Titans (+6.5) @ Falcons
    • Chargers (+3.5) @ Bears


    Sunday Night Football (8:20 kick)
    • Eagles (+4.5) @ Giants


    Monday Night Football (8:30 kick)

    • Chiefs (+14.5) @ Patriots


    Biggie's Week #11 Upset Special:

    Lots of big spreads this week. If the wiseguys have it right, Week #11 will see some blowouts. Of course this means that we are in for a weekend of ugly, low-scoring contests and a couple real headscratchers. I'm looking at the slate and I see one game that features a team that played a night game on Sunday and now must play another night game on TNF a mere 92 1/2 hours afterwards. While the Broncos are very tempting, I can't see that Jesters defense letting Saint Timothy get the better of them.

    I can't believe I'm gonna do this. Gimme the Panthers (+7) @ Lions. Detroit can't run the ball and they can't stop the run, either. The Lions' defensive line has a bad tendency to overpursue when going after the quarterback. Cam Newton should have a vintage Cam game with some nice runs to keep the chains moving. Matt Stafford has a broken finger. Not just any broken finger, either. It is his index finger. On his throwing hand. Bad Juju? Bad Juju.

    The Council of the.... ummmm, errrrr.....Learned? has made its pick for the TNF game this week. By Polishguy00

    NY Jets at Denver 8:20 PM- A couple red-flagged games last week did cost the Council some wins. I think this is another red flag game. The Jets lost to a rival at night and have to play four days later across the country. New York should complain about this scheduling. Again, though, how does Eli incite so much debate in the Big Apple when Sanchez is playing so much worse? PICK: NY Jets (5-2)

    Comments 62 Comments
    1. Andy Freeland's Avatar
      The thud you just heard was biggie jumping off the bandwagon.

      I'll take the Broncos. It's not that I believe in Tebow. I don't. I really, really, really don't. But the Jets are coming off of a tough loss, on a short week, traveling across the country.
    1. GoBigOrGoHome's Avatar
      I'm not jumping off the bandwagon, Andy. But my guys looked really bad last week and have looked terribad at home the last three games.

      I was oh so close to taking No Upsets. In fact, I may break protocol and change my pick later this week.

      /skulks away
    1. KabaModernFan's Avatar
      Bengals +7
    1. GoBigOrGoHome's Avatar
      Quote Originally Posted by KabaModernFan View Post
      Bengals +7
      I see reverse-jinxing is catching on.
    1. Turk Schonert's Avatar
      Give me no upsets.

      The Jets can commit 9 guys to the run because they have cover corners who don't need help. I think Denver struggles to score points. Jets win by double digits. The one game that scares my no upset pick is Cinti-Balt. The Bengals have played well against the Ravens the last few years. The Ravens struggled with Arizona their last home game.
    1. Docta's Avatar
      Bengals +7
    1. Pruitt's Avatar
      So, if the Jets lose, all hell is going to break loose in New York.

      Would love to see it happen.

      Denver please.
    1. wxwax's Avatar
      San Diego.

      I just don't believe this team can lose 5 in a row.
    1. vancemeek's Avatar
      I'll take San Diego too.
    1. Trumpetbdw's Avatar
      I'll go with Denver- +6.5
    1. SpartaChris's Avatar
      Philly.
    1. mikesteelnation1's Avatar
      I'm terrible at this, but Cincy plays really well vs the ravens. They're coming off a let down. I think that fires them up for the upset. Plus I'm really biased and I need the bengals to win !!

      Gimme the bengals!
    1. ScottDCP's Avatar
      Charger!s
    1. xmenehune's Avatar
      DEN

      ride them another week, besides last year NYJ won 24-20 off MNF 6 days rest, they flew in on a Friday and were really lucky their 3TOs didn't cost them the game. DEN was w/o Dumervil (I believe) and Tebow got some work in that game (and a TD).
      This time DEN turns the TO's into points, NYJ will be w/o last years skill players in Edwards, Cotchery, Smith and LT and DEN DL is an upgrade this year.
      DEN last weekend were runnin' on 3rd & 7 and longer, that's commitment to the run by OC.
      maybe they'll pick up Pat White or next year p/u nebraska qb as a backup, then that article i read on sporting news will really have some teeth.
      see http://aol.sportingnews.com/nfl/stor...r-15-years-ago
      I've been trying to pick a different team each week, but oh well, I think I'll make it a bit easier on myself
    1. iwatt's Avatar
      Give me Denver as well. The football Jesus FTW!
    1. Colts01's Avatar
      Chargers
    1. Polishguy00's Avatar
      I'm predicting a Giant crap of the bed. Give me the Iggles.
    1. Ripperlicious's Avatar
      How can you not believe in Tebow yet? Anyone's who's watched their games since they've gone with the read-option can see that their O-line is winning everytime. They win the field position battle. Yes Tebow throws some awful passes during games, but he does complete some beauties usually for TD's in cruchtime. And he doesn't turn the football over.

      The defense and special teams are playing out of their minds. The whole team plays inspired football (except the Lions game). You guys are seeing the effects of "intangibles" right before your eyes yet his critics only concentrate on his awful throws.

      A Tebow game takes the Jets best player (Revis) and makes him moot. Give me the Broncos +6.5.

      (The scary part is, usually when the underdog is the "fashionable pick", bad things usually happen to them.)
    1. darvon's Avatar
      BENGALS please.
    1. Turk Schonert's Avatar
      GoBig, you need to update your rules for a No Upset pick. With Thursday night games in affect every week and Saturday games coming. No Upset picks need to be made by Thursday nights game.