4 Teams Without a 4000-yard Passer

As long as some spamming idiot revived the thread, let's do a mid-season update:

Vick is on pace, 2095. I'm still putting the Eagles at less than 50% based strictly on Vick's injury history and the general uncertainty surrounding the team this year.

Josh Freeman is next with 2047. I think he has a better shot than Vick. The Bucs are 4-4 and still in the playoff hunt. No way Freeman is getting benched and he's too big to get hurt.

Cutler (1774) and Wilson (1649) are out of the race.

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Of those four teams, Vick has 2,095, Freeman has 2,047, Wilson has 1,639 and Cutler has 1,774.

I think Chicago has no chance with Cutler. They have a good run game, and doing very well this year (which means they might rest Culter). Wilson seems to be doing okay, but I can't see him making up 2,400 yards in the second half. Vick is halfway there, but he might get benched at some point. So my favorite is Freeman and the Bucs. Freeman has the weapons. Tampa is going to be fighting for a playoff spot til the very end, most likely, and he has seemingly gotten better the past few weeks, which means a higher upside.

I'm not convinced any of the four will get to 4,000 yards, but if I had to bet, it would be Tampa and Freeman.

There is no way Cutler is doing, sepcially because he's basically only throwing the ball for 3 quarters. And no, it's not ebcause they running off leads, it's because the Bears are the worst 1st quarter passing team I've ever seen

Jay Cutler splits by quarter:

Code:

BY QUARTER	CMP	ATT	YDS	CMP%	AVG	LNG	TD	INT	SACK	RAT	ATT	YDS	AVG	LNG	TD
QUARTER = 1	28 	59 	187 	47.5 	3.17 	18 	2 	4 	9 	37.9 	3 	37 	12.3 	24 	0
QUARTER = 2	39 	67 	536 	58.2 	8.00 	47 	1 	1 	7 	82.7 	4 	23 	5.8 	13 	0
QUARTER = 3	39 	64 	468 	60.9 	7.31 	34 	1 	1 	5 	82.0 	2 	13 	6.5 	9 	0
QUARTER = 4	38 	51 	583 	74.5 	11.43 	42 	8 	2 	7 	135.0 	10 	25 	2.5 	21 	0

This doesn't speak to highly of how Tice and Bates script opening drives. On the plus sides, they've been pretty good at either adjusting or letting Jay make things up in the second half (or the 4th quarter).