• FootballPros.com 2015 Upset Special - Time to pump it up?


    Welcome back to the FP Upset Special. After what seemed like the longest offseason in NFL history, we finally get back to some live, real football games that count.

    This competition is open to any and all FP members. Feel free to join the party.

    Time to pump it up.

    Rules:
    • One pick per week
    • Your chosen team must be at least a (+3) underdog (Only games listed in this column are eligible)
    • Your chosen team must win the game outright (no 'pushes' or 'covers')
    • Season winner is the one with the most upsets correctly chosen between Week #1 through the Conference Championship Games (20 weeks all together)
    • There will be a points system to determine a winner in the event of a tie
    • Points will be accumulated by adding the game spreads for your correct picks (if you take Carolina (+4.5) and Carolina wins, you will be awarded a win and 4.5 points). Be careful making picks based on the number of points possible. Points only count if you are tied for the total wins lead when the whole contest is finished.
    • The No Upsets Option: Predict correctly that 'No Upsets' will occur in any given week and you will be awarded one win and a point total equal to the sum of all the spreads in that week's Upset Special. If you wish to exercise the 'No Upsets' Option, that prediction is due by 5 minutes prior to kickoff of the first game of the week in question. This includes Thursday Night Football or Saturday games. The 'No Upsets' option is confined to the Upset Possibilities listed in this article.
    • Picks are due no later than 5 minutes before the scheduled start of the broadcast time for your game. The FootballPros.com time stamp on your post is gospel.
    • Spread lines, once posted, will remain static throughout the week. This isn't The Sports Book at Caesar's Palace, after all.

    Week #1 Upset Special Possibilities

    Odds by OddsShark.
    All times Eastern.
    Underdogs in bold.

    Thursday Night Football
    • Steelers (+6.5)@ Patriots

    Sunday 1:00 Games
    • Seahawks @ Rams (+4.5)
    • Packers @ Bears (+7)
    • Browns (+3) @ Jets
    • Redskins (+4) @ Dolphins
    • Panthers @ South Jacksonville High Jaguars (+3)

    Sunday 4:15 Games
    • Saints (+3) @ Cardinals
    • Bengals @ Raiders (+3.5)
    • Ravens (+4.5) @ Broncos
    • Titans (+3) @ Buccaneers
    • Lions (+3) @ Chargers

    Sunday Night Football (8:20 PM)
    • Giants (+5) @ Cowboys

    Monday Night Football (7:10 PM)
    • Eagles @ Falcons (+3)

    Monday Night Football (10:20 PM)
    • Vikings @ 49ers (+3)

    Biggie's Week #1 Upset Special: I'll try to squeeze a point out of what I perceive as a sexy but fraudulent - for now- playoff contender. Gimme the Rams (+4.5)

    Comments 33 Comments
    1. Rich Gapinski's Avatar
      I'm taking the Saints
    1. tubbs1518's Avatar
      Vikings
    1. iwatt's Avatar
      Bears
    1. Evan Vracar's Avatar
      Vikings, ho!
    1. edave's Avatar
      Vikings for me.
    1. Brian Williams's Avatar
      I shouldn't do this, but I am a total fool. NEVER PICK THE THURSDAY NIGHT GAME!!!

      Give me the Steelers
    1. xmenehune's Avatar
      Here in 'vegas I see more games with pt spreads = or > 3pts
      http://www.vegasinsider.com/nfl/odds...egas/index.cfm

      I rather test the waters with DET on the road at SD.
      I really think you're missing a whole bunch of games to pick from (like 8 of them) [ and MIN is a fav in my view, not a dog]

      but if I must pick from this lot....

      NO


      BTW here's another site:
      http://sportsmemo.com/live_odds/inde...t=nfl&period=0

      [and again MIN is not a dog and they didn't open at -4.5 either....]

      I'd give the direct link for nfl odds at donbest.com but I think you guys get the picture....
    1. hobbes27's Avatar
      I guess I'll smoke the crackpipe and join the Vikings bandwagon.
    1. Patrick Sullivan's Avatar
      Quote Originally Posted by xmenehune View Post
      Here in 'vegas I see more games with pt spreads = or > 3pts
      http://www.vegasinsider.com/nfl/odds...egas/index.cfm

      I rather test the waters with DET on the road at SD.
      I really think you're missing a whole bunch of games to pick from (like 8 of them) [ and MIN is a fav in my view, not a dog]

      but if I must pick from this lot....

      NO


      BTW here's another site:
      http://sportsmemo.com/live_odds/inde...t=nfl&period=0

      [and again MIN is not a dog and they didn't open at -4.5 either....]

      I'd give the direct link for nfl odds at donbest.com but I think you guys get the picture....
      I use http://www.oddsshark.com/nfl/odds opening odds. You are right. According to OddsShark, Minny opened at +4.5 but is now favored by three. That appears to be because the line was originally set back in freaking April.

      MIN/SF is off the board. All you folks who took the Vikings need to resubmit. I am going to fix the article to show more current spreads. My bad, guys. It's been a busy week (read: busy as hell summer). I should have paid more attention.
    1. Patrick Sullivan's Avatar
      Quote Originally Posted by xmenehune View Post
      Here in 'vegas I see more games with pt spreads = or > 3pts
      http://www.vegasinsider.com/nfl/odds...egas/index.cfm

      I rather test the waters with DET on the road at SD.
      I really think you're missing a whole bunch of games to pick from (like 8 of them) [ and MIN is a fav in my view, not a dog]

      but if I must pick from this lot....

      NO


      BTW here's another site:
      http://sportsmemo.com/live_odds/inde...t=nfl&period=0

      [and again MIN is not a dog and they didn't open at -4.5 either....]

      I'd give the direct link for nfl odds at donbest.com but I think you guys get the picture....
      Quote Originally Posted by Patrick Sullivan View Post
      I use http://www.oddsshark.com/nfl/odds opening odds. You are right. According to OddsShark, Minny opened at +4.5 but is now favored by three. That appears to be because the line was originally set back in freaking April.

      MIN/SF is off the board. All you folks who took the Vikings need to resubmit. I am going to fix the article to show more current spreads. My bad, guys. It's been a busy week (read: busy as hell summer). I should have paid more attention.
      To reiterate, the Vikings are off the board. They will be replaced by the actual 'dog in that game, the 49ers. Other games have been added. Please revisit the article for current odds and available upset special choices.
    1. Patrick Sullivan's Avatar
      Gawdammit. I feel like an idiot. Sorry again, guys.
    1. Afrocomb's Avatar
      Still in pre-season form there Patrick, lol!

      Gimme the Rams! (Good to have upset special back!)
    1. Patrick Sullivan's Avatar
      Quote Originally Posted by Afrocomb View Post
      Still in pre-season form there Patrick, lol!

      Gimme the Rams! (Good to have upset special back!)
      Yep. I originally posted spread lines that were set back in April/May.

      Funny thing is, many of them have not moved more than a half point since then.
    1. hobbes27's Avatar
      Quote Originally Posted by Patrick Sullivan View Post
      Gawdammit. I feel like an idiot. Sorry again, guys.
      No worries. It seemed odd to me that the Vikings were a dog to the 49ers.

      I generally like home dogs, so gimme the Raiders.
    1. Evan Vracar's Avatar
      Boooooooo

      In that case, I'll bet on the Falcons
    1. Amy's Avatar
      Give me the Titans.
    1. tubbs1518's Avatar
      Lions
    1. xmenehune's Avatar
      ok so since we can resubmit...

      I'll take BAL

      (not DET, not NO)

      if PIT wins tonight they are really bucking a trend w/SB winners and the following season opening game win trend,,,

      If I were to take a home dog.... I'd take JAC, CAR had(has) a habit of playing to their competitors level.
    1. Matt Kocsan's Avatar
      I love the Ravens this week.
    1. edave's Avatar
      I liked it better when the old lines were used and the Vikings were sitting there like a 400 pound duck.

      I guess I'll take a wild swing with the Lions.