• 2015 Playoff Picture after Week 13


    Four weeks to go. The playoff field went through a lot of upheaval this weekend! Let's explore it.

    AFC:

    East:

    New England: The Patriots rather fluky loss to Philly was a strong negative in terms of playoff seeding. Not only have the Patriots not locked up the AFC East, but they have fallen to the AFC #3 seed. With as many injuries as they have, the loss of a bye week could be very significant. However, there is still plenty of time to get that bye back.

    We are currently the AFC #3 seed and would host the Jets.

    New York: Todd Bowles team showed a lot of determination. Down 10 to the Giants in the 4th, they rallied to tie and then won in overtime. It was a very important win. Not only could they still win the AFC East, but for the moment, they are in the playoffs. The tie breaker over the Steelers is tight, just one AFC win, but that can be all it takes.

    The Jets are the current AFC #6 seed and would play at the Patriots.

    Buffalo: Buffalo helped itself a lot by beating Houston. Not only are they just one game back for the final spot in the playoffs, but they have a crucial head to head tiebreakers over the Texans and Colts. The Bills are not out of it yet.

    Miami: Miami has very slim playoff hopes. While they are just two games back in the wild card hunt, the 3-6 record in the AFC is close to a killer.

    North:

    Cincinnati: The Bengals destroyed the Browns, and that, combined with the Eagles win, helped them a lot. However, the Steelers are still in play to win the Division. If Cincinnati wins this week, they take the AFC North. If they do not, they'll have a two game lead with three to play. I'll be cheering for the Gold and Black this weekend!

    Cincy is currently the AFC #1 seed.

    Pittsburgh: The Steelers smashed the Colts into tiny bits. However, they are not in the field at the moment as both KC and the Jets have better AFC records. The game against the Bengals is huge for both teams, and will heavily shape the AFC playoffs. If the Steelers win, they are very much in play. If they lose, they'll have to have a wildcard slot, and a post Bengals game 4-5 in the AFC would make that much harder.

    Baltimore: The Ravens, like a few other teams, have slim mathematical chances to make the playoffs. Realistically, they are finished.

    Cleveland: The Browns are the first AFC team eliminated from playoff hopes. We'll be saying goodbye to them.

    South:

    Indianapolis: The Colts we destroyed by the Steelers. However, the Bills defeat of Houston leaves Indy as the AFC South leaders. While they have a thin margin, they are still in the playoffs.

    At the moment, they are the #4 seed and would host Kansas City.

    Houston: Houston's loss was huge. Not only did it give Buffalo a tiebreaker, but it gave the Jets the final playoff slot. The Texans can still win a wildcard slot, but their best hope is the AFC South title.

    Jacksonville: The Jags have to be kicking themselves. If they had beat the Titans, they would be just one game back in the AFC South. That loss put them in a terrible position, but they are still alive.

    Tennessee: Like a Zombie, the Titans are back from the dead! While they have almost no Wild Card chance, if they run the table, they do have a slim hope of taking the AFC South. To do that, they'd have to beat the Jets, Pats, Texans, and Colts, with only Houston at home. It's a very small chance, but it is a chance.

    West:

    Denver: Denver struggled with San Diego, and defensive injuries are starting to pile up. They'll go as far as that defense gets them.

    Denver is the current AFC 2 seed.

    Kansas City: Kansas City is in great shape. As long as they win, they stay in. They do not have a hard last four, and it's hard to see them not making the final six.

    They are currently the #5 seed and would play at Indianapolis.

    Oakland: Oakland's loss put them in even worse shape than last week. They still have slim hopes, but those hopes are almost gone.

    San Diego: San Diego has to win out to have any chance at all to maybe, somehow, slip it. One more loss and we say goodbye to the Chargers.


    NFC:

    East: The NFC East is an a crazy heap of average. It will probably not be decided until week 17.

    Washington: Washington choked away a chance to open up some space. But, they are still the champs of the NFC East at this point.

    They are currently the NFC #4 seed and would host Minnesota.

    New York: The Giants had a chance to get back in front. The loss in OT to the Jets dropped New York all the way back to the #10 seed. While they are two games back in the wild card hunt, they are tied for the best record in the division.

    Philadelphia: Philly's win put them at the #9 seed. Everything I said for the Giants applies to them as well.

    Dallas: Dallas is the worst team in the NFC. They are the #16 seed, as the 49ers beat them with the Strength of Victory tiebreaker! With that said, they are all of 1 game out of the division lead and have plenty of playoff hopes!

    North:

    The NFC North has stayed very interesting.

    Green Bay: Green Bay took advantage of an imaginary facemask call and the worst Hail Mary defensive scheme I've ever seen to steal a win. After Seattle kicked sand in the Vikings face, the Packers are back on top in the NFC North.

    They are currently the #3 seed and would host Seattle.

    Minnesota: The Vikings were wrecked by Seattle. As good as they've been, if they don't find a way to get Bridgewater effective, teams will just stack the box, stop AP, and dare them to throw.

    They are currently the #5 seed and would travel to Washington.

    Bears: The Bears are much less in play. They are two games back from playing into the 6 seed, and tiebreakers are still not good for them.

    Lions: I feel bad for the Lions. They should have had a sweep of Green Bay, and that would have been a nice thing in what has otherwise been a wreck of a season for them.

    South:

    Carolina: Carolina's thrilling win over the Saints made them the first division champion of this season. They need three wins, or two wins and an Arizona loss, to secure homefield.

    Carolina is currently the NFC 1 seed and would have a first round bye.

    Atlanta: While Atlanta is just one game out of the #6 seed, it's hard to see them in the playoffs. 0-3 in the NFC South and 4-5 in the NFC are hard to overcome. The collapse of Atlanta is possibly the most stunning story of this season.

    Tampa Bay: Tampa is knocking at the door! Just one game back, with winning records against the South and the NFC, they can make it into the final six.

    New Orleans: Done.

    West:

    The NFC West is Arizona's division.

    Arizona: The Cardinals are looking great, but Seattle is catching up. Arizona needs two wins, or one and a Seattle loss to claim the West.

    Arizona is currently the NFC 2 seed and would have a first round bye.

    Seattle: Seattle is back in it. While they do not look the same as the last two Seahawks teams, they are still a very dangerous team, and one with a lot of playoff experience. I think most NFC playoff teams would rather see Tampa or Philly in this slot.

    They are currently the NFC 6 seed and would go to Green Bay. Would Packers fans be confident if this game happened?

    Rams: Done.

    San Francisco: Done.

    Comments 8 Comments
    1. Rich Gapinski's Avatar
      I dub the quote of that picture to be: "Hi, Felicia!"

      If you get that joke, I love you.
    1. iwatt's Avatar
      - What happened to the Seahwaks OL? They can now run and pass protect.

      - The Pats have issues on Special teams that are been kept hidden by Gostowski

      - The Vikings lost 2 of their most dynamic defenders (Barr and Harrison Smith). That coupled with Teddy B's passing, doomed them.
    1. hobbes27's Avatar
      I haven't looked at all the possible permutations, but don't the Rams, Niners and Saints still have a mathematical chance to make the playoffs at 4-8? The Seahawks hold the #6 spot at 7-5.

      Also, the #3 seed for New England is a bit of a misnomer, since Denver and Cincy play each other, which means that the Pats will be at least a #2 if they win out.
    1. iwatt's Avatar
      Quote Originally Posted by hobbes27 View Post
      I haven't looked at all the possible permutations, but don't the Rams, Niners and Saints still have a mathematical chance to make the playoffs at 4-8? The Seahawks hold the #6 spot at 7-5.

      Also, the #3 seed for New England is a bit of a misnomer, since Denver and Cincy play each other, which means that the Pats will be at least a #2 if they win out.
      Amy uses the seeds at the moment. If the Pats winout, they do hold the #2 seed (#1 if Denver and Cincy tie).

      You should remove the Bears from the list as well. The tiebreakers are too messed up for them (too many division losses, too many conference losses, head to head losses against the Seahawks).
    1. Brian Williams's Avatar
      Quote Originally Posted by iwatt View Post

      Amy uses the seeds at the moment. If the Pats winout, they do hold the #2 seed (#1 if Denver and Cincy tie).

      You should remove the Bears from the list as well. The tiebreakers are too messed up for them (too many division losses, too many conference losses, head to head losses against the Seahawks).
      If the Bears win out and finish tied with Minnesota, they would have the same division and conference record. Unlikely, but not inconceivable.

      That loss to SF killed them.
    1. Patrick Sullivan's Avatar
      Question for some of our elders:

      Am I insane to think the Seahawks offense bears striking resemblance to the late 1970s Roger Staubach Cowboys' offense?
    1. iwatt's Avatar
      Quote Originally Posted by Brian Williams View Post
      If the Bears win out and finish tied with Minnesota, they would have the same division and conference record. Unlikely, but not inconceivable.

      That loss to SF killed them.
      These Bears are like the 2009 Jets. I've written themo off like 3 times already.
    1. Amy's Avatar
      The only team that has no chance at all is the Browns, and they'll be off next weeks list. Anyone else can still make it, in theory. The Done's are my current thoughts on chances, but they could be revised in later weeks.