One of my biggest questions about this Super Bowl is, "Can Aaron Rogers Survive?" To win, the Packers will have to spread out the Steelers defense with 4 and 5 wide receiver formations. I have seen that strategy work when the Patriots beat the Steelers in Pittsburgh. But, when you take out tight ends and fullbacks to play more wide receivers, you also invite the blitz. Dick LeBeau saw how Aaron Rogers looked after that hit from Julius Peppers in the championship game, he just wasn't quite the same. I have to believe that if the Packers shorten those edges with a spread formation, Dick LeBeau is going to send the house to get some early shots on Rogers. Rogers is a guy that already has had two concussions this year and maybe another one against the Bears. It sounds cold-hearted, but the easiest way for the Steelers to win is to knock Aaron Rogers out of the game.
Teams have to pay so much attention to outside linebackers James Harrison and LaMarr Woodley that it is often James Farrior, Lawrence Timmons, or one of the corners, like Ike Taylor last week, that do the damage. Remember, this is Rogers' first Super Bowl. No matter how cool he is, his head will be swimming in the early stages of this game. Troy Aikman told me he was hyperventilating before the opening kickoff of his first Super Bowl. So even if the Steelers give up an early TD to the Packers, it may be worth blitzing to get some early shots on Rogers, see how settled he is, speed up the clock in his head, and maybe daze him a bit. Rogers is not a big guy and he cannot take too many shots against this fearsome defense. I like the Packers chances in this one, IF Aaron Rogers can finish the game.