• Blaine Gabbert has It....I think

    Greetings from the Dominican Republic. Spring Break is an interesting time for all parents, but we are having a good time and the kids are just great kids, so it has been fun. One the flight down, I got to watch tape of all the QBs for the first time. While they all looked pretty good, I thought Blaine Gabbert stuck out for one reason, his release. Watching all the guys play, you could see Gabbert's ability to process the information and get rid of the ball quickly. He is athlectic and moves well, but it is his quick release that I believe will make him successful in the NFL. Aaron Rogers and Tony Romo are both quick release guys. They can both move and make plays, but what I like most about both of them is their ability to process and get rid of it. Gabbert has those same skills. I'm not sure he has a huge arm, but he will be an effective NFL QB. I would put his success rate at around 70%. I had Cameron Newton at 40%, but if his 40% hits he could be the next Roethlisberger. So there is my quick pick on QBs, Gabbert would be my guy.

    Comments 27 Comments
    1. Phil McConkey's Avatar
      It's looking like you're gonna win that bet with Simms.
    1. ScottDCP's Avatar
      His arm - can he hit the deep out, and the 25 yard seam route without giving the DB's time to get to the ball? Will he struggle in the wiindy staiums in New York, PA, and Ohio?
    1. Phil McConkey's Avatar
      @Scott

      Too much of a risk for the Bills at #3...with their recent draft busts, they need a sure thing. I'm leaning Dareus, Peterson or Miller.
    1. ScottDCP's Avatar
      Quote Originally Posted by Phil McConkey View Post
      @Scott

      Too much of a risk for the Bills at #3...with their recent draft busts, they need a sure thing. I'm leaning Dareus, Peterson or Miller.
      Me, too. I'm hoping that if he can't hack it in the north, that he falls to Miami. Trying to create some specific vibrations. No way am I thinking QB this year, unless Ponder or Kapaernick fall to fifth round. Brohm is probably gone, and I'm fine with Brown. They're gonna plug somebody in. Maybe a McCown?
    1. Bengals1181's Avatar
      my concern with Gabbert is three fold:

      1) his accuracy wasn't elite impressive.

      2) his stats are extremely average for a spread offense.

      3) To my untrained eye, it just seemed like he didn't have to go through his progressions much. The offense looked designed to have a specific guy open and either let it loose or scrambled.


      Just don't know about him. In a stronger class, I don't think he's a top 15 pick.
    1. Docta's Avatar
      One of his biggest problems is his pocket awareness. He gets too nervous when he gets pressured. If you watch the Iowa-Mizzou game, he had good protection on that last play, felt pressure, panicked, ran left, and then threw a terrible pass. That's the last thing you want people seeing in the most important play of your career. People would rather talk about Newton and Mallet's flaws though.

      A Panthers beat writer says that it's between Dareus, Peterson, and Newton for the first pick.
    1. BuckeyeRidley's Avatar
      WOW!! Cris is a Workaholic! :] I hope he still got in Good vaca. time. I actually picked Gabbert in the current Jerry Jones Mock Draft Pick over my [I SHOCKED THE WORLD] FP Titans Mock Draft pick of Newton. I feel like Gabbert is gonna be Good. He may start out rocky like Troy Aikman or decent like Peyton Manning but any QB needy team could see him succeed fast and be their guy.
    1. Jerry Jones's Avatar
      Cris,
      Looking at the other talent available this year, it is fairly easy to make a case that there is not a quarterback truly qualified for a Top Ten spot.
      There is, however, a higher than usual number of teams seeking a quarterback. One or two franchises are likely to take a chance.
      From what I have been able to pick up, your choice of Gabbert is probably the consensus pick of the people who will make the decisions.
      The reasoning is sound. He has enough arm and accuracy. His release is quick and he can escape the rush and create. He's got the smarts to make a smooth transition to pro-style and absorb the playbook quickly. Compared to the other three QB candidates, he is the"safest" pick for risking a high (and costly) selection.
    1. wxwax's Avatar
      I'm really curious to see how Ponder's career works out. I wonder if he'll be the dark horse QB of this draft?
    1. Phil McConkey's Avatar
      Quote Originally Posted by wxwax View Post
      I'm really curious to see how Ponder's career works out. I wonder if he'll be the dark horse QB of this draft?
      I agree, he could wind up being the best of the bunch. Not sure if that means he's that good, or the other qb's in this class are that average.
    1. Ripperlicious's Avatar
      IMO you have to be dominant (statwise) if you're running a spread offense in college. I understand there were lots of drops he had to contend with, but for once I agree with Bengals1181 in that the accuracy and stats were just not there.

      It is perhaps telling that 9 of the bottom 16 teams need a QB, and in a draft devoid of top QB talent, clearly it will show his market based on supply and demand.

      Too many better players have to be passed up by Carolina and the rest of the Top 4 drafting teams at least to take Gabbert. He just not worth it. I'd take my chances on changing your franchise for good by waiting next year on Andrew Luck and by drafting Peterson or Green or Dareus etc... this year.

      Luck is that good IMO. The prototypical NFL QB because of supreme production and off the charts intangibles.
    1. ScottDCP's Avatar
      Quote Originally Posted by Ripperlicious View Post
      IMO you have to be dominant (statwise) if you're running a spread offense in college. I understand there were lots of drops he had to contend with, but for once I agree with Bengals1181 in that the accuracy and stats were just not there.

      It is perhaps telling that 9 of the bottom 16 teams need a QB, and in a draft devoid of top QB talent, clearly it will show his market based on supply and demand.

      Too many better players have to be passed up by Carolina and the rest of the Top 4 drafting teams at least to take Gabbert. He just not worth it. I'd take my chances on changing your franchise for good by waiting next year on Andrew Luck and by drafting Peterson or Green or Dareus etc... this year.

      Luck is that good IMO. The prototypical NFL QB because of supreme production and off the charts intangibles.
      Looking at Luck next year, and the likelihood of a RWS I'm curious as to whether there will be a fight for next year's first pick. Will we see such competition for the thing that someone swings a Ditka-Williams/Herschel Walker type of deal? How far will someone go to get the "perfect" QB? I can see some of the arguments now - best QB in ages, versus a chance at five extra top guys. Too bad Buffalo will be dominant again this year. I'm leaning towards Carolina, Dallas, and Oakland having best odds of landing that pick. Cleveland a darkhorse. Cincinnati if they don't try to get something for Palmer will jump ahead of even Oakland (seriously, fire the best coach you've had in decades?).


      Assuming there's a draft next year.
    1. Pruitt's Avatar
      Quote Originally Posted by Phil McConkey View Post
      @Scott

      Too much of a risk for the Bills at #3...with their recent draft busts, they need a sure thing. I'm leaning Dareus, Peterson or Miller.
      Hope you're right Phil. The Bills' last 6 or 7 drafts have been ridiculous. The problem is that even when they draft to fill a hole (of which they are many), they seem to pick the wrong guy.
    1. Dave Lapham's Avatar
      Gabbert scored like a 42 on his wonderlick test. His football IQ is off the charts as well. He has Hollywood best-man type looks, and has no off the field issues. Definitely a guy that could be the face of your franchise for a decade+. He does have the quick release, throws with anticipation and accuracy. The two things I noticed watching him play were.....1)had a tendency to lock on a guy sometimes and force the ball into a tight spot because of confidence in his throwing abilities and wouldn't check the ball down and take what the defense gave him all the time. That can be coached. 2) Pocket awareness/presence. Doesn't have the 6th sense of feeling pressure like the great ones do, and slidestepping or stepping up to avoid it and buy that all important extra second of time. When he feels pressure he tends to want to bail out of the pocket to his right or left and outrun pressure. He is a great athlete, just a cut below Cam. Excellent size and can run. In the NFL you won't outrun pressure around the edges consistently unless you are Michael Vick. He has to find a better sense/feel for pressure and step up in the pocket to create space and time to throw.
    1. ScottDCP's Avatar
      Quote Originally Posted by Dave Lapham View Post
      He has to find a better sense/feel for pressure and step up in the pocket to create space and time to throw.
      Is it possible to learn that?
    1. Josina Anderson's Avatar
      Wish I could be in the Dominican Republic. Or St. Lucia for that matter Oh was this about Gabbert? my bad.
    1. Andy Freeland's Avatar
      Quote Originally Posted by wxwax View Post
      I'm really curious to see how Ponder's career works out. I wonder if he'll be the dark horse QB of this draft?
      I finally got around to watching some QB tape today, and I'm officially on the Ponder bandwagon. The big knocks on him are the lack of arm strength and the fact that he seemed to backslide from his junior to senior years, both of which can be explained by shoulder injury his junior year and elbow injuries last year. I would have him checked out in every way possible. Dozens of doctors, maybe even a vet. But if I'm convinced that he doesn't have any long term damage and his arm strength will return, I could see taking him in the late first.
    1. Cris Collinsworth's Avatar
      Quote Originally Posted by Jerry Jones View Post
      Cris,
      Looking at the other talent available this year, it is fairly easy to make a case that there is not a quarterback truly qualified for a Top Ten spot.
      There is, however, a higher than usual number of teams seeking a quarterback. One or two franchises are likely to take a chance.
      From what I have been able to pick up, your choice of Gabbert is probably the consensus pick of the people who will make the decisions.
      The reasoning is sound. He has enough arm and accuracy. His release is quick and he can escape the rush and create. He's got the smarts to make a smooth transition to pro-style and absorb the playbook quickly. Compared to the other three QB candidates, he is the"safest" pick for risking a high (and costly) selection.
      I wish I had written it that well. What he said.
    1. Cris Collinsworth's Avatar
      This may be the most athletic QB class in a while. Except Mallett they can all move. That sounds great but like Dave said QBs that try to scramble left and right only figure out how fast NFL defensive ends are. Usually you have to step up then out and even that rarely works.
    1. hobbes27's Avatar
      Quote Originally Posted by Jerry Jones View Post
      Cris,
      Looking at the other talent available this year, it is fairly easy to make a case that there is not a quarterback truly qualified for a Top Ten spot.
      There is, however, a higher than usual number of teams seeking a quarterback. One or two franchises are likely to take a chance.
      From what I have been able to pick up, your choice of Gabbert is probably the consensus pick of the people who will make the decisions.
      The reasoning is sound. He has enough arm and accuracy. His release is quick and he can escape the rush and create. He's got the smarts to make a smooth transition to pro-style and absorb the playbook quickly. Compared to the other three QB candidates, he is the"safest" pick for risking a high (and costly) selection.
      And that could be the biggest problem with this draft. I don't think there is a pro ready QB among any of the available QBs. And unfortunately there are teams out there that despately need a QB and probably won't have the patience to sit their number one pick very long, which doesn't bode well for any QB to succeed in this league.
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