What you're missing is the value of the pick in direct comparison. Rb has not delivered that bang for the buck, even a little. NFL front offices know this full well. It's one of the least drafted positions in the 1st round. They know there's way more value elsewhere. I looked at the last 10 drafts, and among them were 3 superior backs coming out of college, and 2 gambles that turned out pretty good. Very few have given long sustained top tier performance. That doesn't warrant a 1st rounder. The exceptional backs were lt, sjax, and Peterson. the gambles that turned out very good were Larry Johnson and cj.8k. There were plenty of average guys from the first, but the first is about exceptional guys.
Originally Posted by vancemeek
Among undrafted guys are Willie parker, Arian foster, jamal Charles, and Fred Jackson. The list of second round beasts gets longer. A few are rice, forte, and mjd. If you're picking a rb, do so in the later rounds unless he's a monster like sjax, lt, and Peterson were. The position is further denigrated by the run by commitee, and the pass first persona most teams have adopted. Ask the panthers how important 1st round rbs are. They have 2!! And chose not to use them as much, to give their qb in a pass happy league first choice.
I could do much more in depth research into the subject, but that's simply not warranted. The NFLs move to a passing league combined with the huge non factor rate of most 1st round backs negates me wasting my time. most recently the saints prove this point. They traded this yrs 1st round pick to get ingram. The former heisman winner. This kid was no better than the 2 undrafted fa's behind him on the depth chart.
Picking a back or a wr in the first round is a total waste unless they are unabated freaks. Gambling on a back in the 1st is stupid.. Vance it seems you ignored the fact that in every single draft for the last decade, a back came off the board later that had a way better career than the 1st round stud, sans sjax, Peterson, and lt. everyone knew they were special. The really good guys have fallen flat. Now everyone throws so much, so the 1st round back is a trinket, not a cornerstone.
"If I could start my life all over again, I would be a professional football player, and you damn well better believe I would be a Pittsburgh Steeler." Jack Lambert, 1990 HoF Introduction.