In another 2 threads I was posting about GOOD teams and BAD teams and gave a definition.
It got me to thinking about how many are what in the NFL.
Let me simplify it
GREAT team - 4 or 5 years in the playoffs in the last 5 years.
VERY GOOD team - 3 years
GOOD team - 2 years
MEDIOCRE team - 1 playoff appearance
BAD team - 0 for the last 5 years of playoffs.
Here are the standings
5 GREATs 4 of which in AFCCode:Baltim 4 Green 4 New En 4 Pittsb 4 Indian 4 Atlant 3 San Di 3 NY Gia 3 New Or 3 Philad 3 Arizon 2 Cincin 2 Dallas 2 Tennes 2 NY Jet 2 Seattl 2 Minnes 2 Chicag 1 Detroi 1 Miami 1 Jackso 1 Texas 1 Washin 1 San Fr 1 Denver 1 Kansas 1 Caroli 1 Tampa 1 Clevel 0 St Lou 0 Oaklan 0
5 VERY GOODS 4 of which in NFC
There seem to be 5-6 year "blocks" of draft classes. The 2004-2008 drafts accounted for 8 of the GOOD+ teams. The 1998-2003 block accounts for 8 and then there was Favre.
The 2009-2013 block accounted for none.
Sort of obviously, if you are a GOOD+ team you haven't switched to a Rookie QB recently.
Of the 9 GOOD+ teams with success from a 1998-2003 QB (plus Favre), 7 have already dumped their winning QB. Minn, Sea, Ari, Tenn, Cinn, Ind, Phil. Phil reloaded, and Cinn looks ok. But the other 5 are sliding and searching. Looks like there is room for about 5 new GOOD+ teams to rise from Mediocrity.
A GOOD+ team that replaces its QB slides down at least 5/7ths of the time (70%).
Andrew, did you hear that?