Here's the ting. There are two who don't look like it. This week Buffalo gets one of them.
Buffalo's in-house shill has just published a bit on how the Colts like to hit big plays in the passing game. These two things mean:
1. Buffalo will once again not try really hard to pressure the quarterback, relying on the front four to get it done.
2. Kyle Williams and last year's Dareus could have a field day agianst the interior of the Colts' line. This year's Dareus will be the determining factor.
3. Spiller starts. Not the best thing, and I will stop talking about it when he gets better at it, but Spiller still does not reliably pick up blitzes and rushers who just beat the o-line. Fitz is going to get hit.
4. Buffalo will sit back in a zone, and if Williams and Dareus don't light up Luck, the TEs and Wayne will put up big numbers.
5. Indy has a good punter, but it looks more and more like the best way to punt to McKelvin is sideways. Will they? I don't think so. I don't think anyone will believe it until the Bills are over .500.
6. Fitz should have a decent day, as should Scott Chandler. Will Gailey stop trying to keep his nuts in a sling? I doubt it. I expect a very conservative game-plan, that will limit Fitz's productivity, provide predictable calls on third and long, and very nearly be enough to lose the game.
7. Luck likes to go deep outside and down the seams. Half of that is a recipe for success against Buffalo. Whoever is lined up against Justin Rogers will be the first read. I expect him to be targeted twenty times.
8. Indoors, Powell might hit one 75 yards, just for fun. I still hate him.
9. Buffalo doesn't get touchbacks on kickoffs, and their coverage teams are not what they were under Bobby April. Can Indy take advantage and get good field position the easy way?
10. Buffalo will try to use the Snap To Smith Run Option formation five times, and will have success three of those times, only because Indy doesn't quite have the defensive talent to cover all bases consistently. Nobody will be surprised when it is run on all of those tries, oh hell I wasn't going to talk about this anymore. Sorry.
Buffalo wins a close one, again, that doesn't have to be close, again.