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Thread: Article: Of Note (Week 17, 2012)

  1. Article: Of Note (Week 17, 2012)


  2. #2
       
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    Thanks Russell! Informative as always!

    Of the Falcons' three division losses, only one is really a competitive result. The loss in New Orleans was a legitimate, on-the-field loss in a stadium where they've always had problems. The losses to Carolina and Tampa were careless errors. With the division safely in hand, they pretty much didn't care about Carolina because the Giants game was the next week. And the Bucs loss was a lukewarm affair on the last day of the season.

    It's interesting how the playoffs can change the perception of a team. Last year it was the Giants. I wonder which, if any, teams will benefit from winning a couple or more games in this post-season?

    Given all the nay-saying about the Falcons, I have a feeling they might be the one. For perfectly understandable reasons, most people think they'll be one-and-done. If you don't think this rankles a pretty good football team, you'd have to think again.

    It won't be the Redskins, even if they beat an excellent Seattle. Washington has already scored its allotment of public opinion points. Except for one notable exception on this board of ours, most folks are impressed by what they've done.

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    Quote Originally Posted by wxwax View Post
    Of the Falcons' three division losses, only one is really a competitive result. The loss in New Orleans was a legitimate, on-the-field loss in a stadium where they've always had problems. The losses to Carolina and Tampa were careless errors. With the division safely in hand, they pretty much didn't care about Carolina because the Giants game was the next week. And the Bucs loss was a lukewarm affair on the last day of the season.
    But they won close games they shouldn't have against both the Panthers and Bucs. The Falcons Point differntial corresponds to a 10.6 win team, not a mighty 13-3 juggernaut. Part of that might be atrtibutable to Matt Ryan (elite and good QBs generally win more games than pythagoras would say), but they have a very bad run defense, and no ability to control time of possession with their own run game.

    Even their 1 big win against the Giants is more suspect now that we saw the demise of the Gmen.
    “Never ascribe to malice that which can adequately be explained by incompetence.”
    ― Napoleon Bonaparte

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    The Gmen demise was arguably the result of what the Falcons did to them.

    Why do you say they shouldn't have beaten the Bucs? A very nice comeback drive engineered by Ryan. That clutch drive -- especially a 3rd down pass IIRC -- is what proved to me that there's something different about this Falcons team. And remember, the Falcons missed a chip-shot FG early.

    Both were tough, close games. There's a phrase that describes this kind of contest: "divisional game." And there's a word that describes a team which wins such games: "winner."

    They have an average run defense. The stats are a bit misleading. Look at the rush-against attempts: the Falcons are 23rd. I would suggest this means teams were behind and throwing a lot, and the yards on the ground weren't always important. The Falcons secondary and pass rush have been bigger question marks. They really, really need John Abraham's ankle to heal.

    I agree, the rush attack is highly suspect. The only good thing is that, at times, Michael Turner has looked like his old self late in the season. He hasn't been over-used so he may have his legs for the playoffs. I would also note that a number of very good playoff teams are in the bottom half of the NFL in rushing yards per game.

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    THey barely beat the Raiders. At home iirc .

    They scored 2 points in the playoffs last year. It took Drew Brees worst game of his career to beat the Saints.

    It's not the one and dones. It's how they've lost. They've earned the doubt they are getting. Are they above average? Yes. But they aren't nearly what their record implies. Imho of course
    “Never ascribe to malice that which can adequately be explained by incompetence.”
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    The Falcons remind of Schottenheimer's Chiefs teams. They seemed to usually make the playoffs - sometimes with gaudy records - only to flame out in the first round.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Pruitt View Post
    The Falcons remind of Schottenheimer's Chiefs teams. They seemed to usually make the playoffs - sometimes with gaudy records - only to flame out in the first round.
    Good point. On Paper, there really is no reason to doubt them, but I think most fans are done expecting them, and now are in the wait and see. Unfair? probably, but it is what it is.
    “Never ascribe to malice that which can adequately be explained by incompetence.”
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    Well, that gets back to a point I've made a couple of times. People love their patterns. Until the Falcons show that the pattern doesn't apply, people will cling to it. And our love of patterns is so deep that the Falcons will probably have to win 2-3 playoff games to change perceptions.

    I said before the season that Mike Smith was on a subtle hot seat. If he again fails to win a playoff game, I can see changes coming.

    I believe that this organization is pretty keyed-up to prove everyone wrong. Sometimes coaches have to work at creating an "us against the world" mentality. For this Falcons team, all they have to do is read the papers. This love of patterns is helping energize the team, I believe.

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    Quote Originally Posted by wxwax View Post
    Well, that gets back to a point I've made a couple of times. People love their patterns. Until the Falcons show that the pattern doesn't apply, people will cling to it. And our love of patterns is so deep that the Falcons will probably have to win 2-3 playoff games to change perceptions.

    I said before the season that Mike Smith was on a subtle hot seat. If he again fails to win a playoff game, I can see changes coming.

    I believe that this organization is pretty keyed-up to prove everyone wrong. Sometimes coaches have to work at creating an "us against the world" mentality. For this Falcons team, all they have to do is read the papers. This love of patterns is helping energize the team, I believe.
    There is some of what you say, regarding patterns. There is also the fact that Matt Ryan was very hyped when he put in his rookie season. He's gotten alot more love than his co-draftee, Joe Flacco. I can personally attest that the nicknames and all the love this kid has gotten is one reason why I dislike this team. It's a personal bias, and maybe I do hold on too it too much. But he has given me no reason to change that bias. Over hyped, under-perfoming QBs (and he has underperformed in the playoffs) really effing annoy me.
    “Never ascribe to malice that which can adequately be explained by incompetence.”
    ― Napoleon Bonaparte

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