Week Three 2016 NFL Picks
I was in Las Vegas last weekend and I am very upset with the New York Giants. They were the final leg on two -4 parlays where the rest of the legs covered. With $50 bets on them, I missed out on about $360 with Odell Beckham Jr's drop inside the five. When I wasn't losing frustrating bets, we discussed all things football while simultaneously watching every game. For this edition of the picks, we will play "Are we sure?" in several of them.
Thursday, September 22, 2016
Texans @ Pats, 8:25pm Are we sure that the Broncos are the best defense in the league? There's a chance that the Texans actually hold the title by the end of the season, especially with Ware out for Denver. The Texans have been fierce with a healthy Clowney along with great play from role players like John Simon. I think the game is very close because no team prepares back-up quarterbacks better than the Patriots. However, I think the Texans are pretty darn good. Texans
Sunday, September 25, 2016
Cardinals @ Bills, 1:00pm So, the Cardinals are still good and a Rex Ryan team is still a mess. Glad to know some things still make sense in this crazy league. Cardinals
Raiders @ Titans, 1:00pm Are we sure that Mike Mularkey doesn't have the same info on his superiors that Jeff Fisher does? The Titans look like they have a ton of talent and little from the coaching box. How, exactly, did Mularkey earn a second shot at head coach? I dunno, but the Raiders defense has been a disappointing unit and they may need just a bit more experience before being really feared. Raiders
Browns @ Dolphins, 1:00pm Before McCown was shot up with Toradol, there was a brief five minutes where it looked like Kessler was going to have to play last Sunday. If you slow the tape, you can see the moment when Kessler soiled himself. It was at that moment that Hue begged McCown to finish the game. He somehow did and the Browns still lost due to 25 straight points, a safety that allowed a -4.5 cover some buddies of mine enjoyed and a completely stupid taunting call that wasn't taunting at all. Cody Kessler's scouting report looks a lot like Charlie Frye's did. Dolphins
Ravens @ Jaguars, 1:00pm This is my call-out to Cris to show some love over here to get me the first quarter stats for Blake Bortles in his career. He has to be the worst prepared quarterback in the league. He is the king of the back door cover and taking advantage of softer defenses when his team is down by 14+. I am not convinced that South jacksonville High has the right guy. The Ravens aren't good, either, but they can play some defense. Plus, the Jags suffer from my rule of a team being bad at what the coach is supposed to good at. Ravens
Lions @ Packers, 1:00pm Are we sure that....100% sure that... Aaron Rodgers is still a top 3 quarterback? Look, hear me out a bit. There's no doubt that the personnel have had a big part in his problems, but he is making worse decisions than he ever did. Sometimes, it is happy feet. Sometimes, he still trying to make a play for too long. I dunno. It's an eye test thing. He's great. I'd trade three 1sts for him. He just may not be Ultra-Elite anymore. I mean, he never used to throw a pick like he did in the 4th quarter Sunday night. Packers
Broncos @ Bengals, 1:00pm Where is the Bengals running game? They still had a chance to beat the Steelers, too. The Broncos are not Pittsburgh, but are very good. It turns out that Siemien may learn how to protect the ball enough to make him a better quarterback for this team than Peyton Manning was last year. Remember, this is a guy who once split time at Northwestern. With Kain Colter. Bengals
Vikings @ Panthers, 1:00pm Don't worry, we're still sure that Sam Bradford is the same guy we thought he was. That was an impressive job by the coaches to get him ready to play and he was impressive himself. However, one game does not make a trend. AD's middling rushing performances are becoming a trend and he is hurt for a while. This will be a brutal game in the trenches, though. Panthers
Redskins @ Giants, 1:00pm The soon-to-be story that will be everywhere: How smart Washington management was to make Cousins prove it for another season. On Sunday, my friends and I played a game where we started to count the amount of horrid throws by Cousins. Remember that we were watching every single game at a Las Vegas Tilted Kilt. We did not start the count until 7 minutes in and gave up late in the third quarter. Our number was 8 and two of them were great catches by Jordan Reed. He missed a TD on an underthrow deep and cost yards with other throws we couldn't quite call "horrid." It was as bad as you have been told. As much as the Giants hurt me on offense, their defense is playing as if it is a really good unit.Giants
Rams @ Bucs, 4:05pm The Bucs are a better version of the Raiders. Just talented enough to drop some real stinkers. Plus, it was kind of unfair to be playing a team that just got called out by the greatest man in the league; Bruce Arians. The Rams still stink like their old stadium. Bucs
Niners @ Seahawks, 4:05pm Are we sure the Seahawks are still good? They scored their only offensive touchdown of the season so far on a missed offensive PI call that allowed them to pull a win out of their butts against Ryan Tannehill. At home. They can't run. The line is finally having an effect on Wilson's decisions. I am well aware of the other slow starts they have had. Let's just say my eyebrow is raised a little higher this season. It's that, or I'm starting to get the white puffy old man 'brows that look like they are eating my eyelids. Seahawks
Jets @ Chiefs, 4:25pm Are we sure the Chiefs are a playoff team? At one point on Sunday, after a 20+ yard completion, Alex Smith was 12/23 for 96 yards. Those are some prime Blaine Gabbert numbers. Chiefs
Chargers @ Colts, 4:25pm Which team should be more angry with the management team? At least San Diego gets to keep the weather when they move; the Colts would just go back to the Gary Tredeau Era. How do both Pagano and Grigson have jobs when it has been reported how much they disagree for almost two years now? Is that the best way to run a company based on one commodity (athletes)? Chargers
Steelers @ Eagles, 4:25pm It's a bit too early for the Carson Wentz Bandwagon to start retrofitting gold toilets, but it is obvious that the kid has passed the eye test on some tough throws and also has fit into the offense well. Doug Pederson's coaching is being underrated while the prospect himself is getting overrated. Also, when talking about how badly the Browns screwed up...... it's just too early to say that. I thought the Browns should have taken Wentz, but I got it when their strategy became volume drafting. The Browns need talent in many areas. In 2017, they will have around 35-38 of their 53 have three years or less service time in the NFL. There is a high probability of success there because it should net them 7-8 starters. Their chance of success there may be higher than if they had taken Wentz. The former NDSU quarterback would have had a similar OL in Cleveland, but he would be throwing to Barnidge, Hawkins (maybe) and Pryor instead of Aglohor, Ertz and Matthews. It's an upgrade. Steelers
Bears @ Cowboys, 8:30pm Are we sure that the Bears aren't the front-runner for the number one pick? A thin team has lost five defensive starters in two weeks. Cutler is going to play all he can on his hurt thumb, but the truth is that it will only lead to more turnovers. He fumbles a lot because he keeps the ball in one hand and rarely covers it up. Part of that is because he still chucks it deep for yardage under pressure (see the early throw to Jeffrey on Monday-- he got nailed on that play, which is why it was underthrown enough to prevent a touchdown). Call it negative positive reinforcement. The Bears new front office hasn't impressed anyone with their picks, continuing the NFL death spiral of drafting poorly for 6+ years. Floyd should bulk up and be played like Jamie Collins. Instead, he is rushing like Aldon Smith and getting swallowed up on running plays. They still need defensive help and could have had Trae Waynes and Corey Coleman. The future looks bleak in Chicago. Plus, it's likely that Lamarr Houston's career is essentially over. Cowboys
Monday, September 26, 2016
Falcons @ Saints, 8:30pm Are we sure that I stopped writing? Saints
LAST WEEK: 10-6
Last edited by Rich Gapinski; 09-22-2016 at 05:43 AM.
As a writer, I'm like the last girl at the bar. In the morning, you may regret asking for my services, but I'll get the job done. As long as I don't puke on your floor.