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Thread: What if every NFL quarterback was available in a draft?

  1. #1

    What if every NFL quarterback was available in a draft?

    What if every NFL quarterback was available in a draft?


    Tom Brady may have five rings, but younger players probably fly off the board first.

    by Adam Stites Jul 12, 2017, 9:00am EDT

    Photo by Stacy Revere/Getty ImagesImagine every quarterback in the NFL was dropped by their current team and a draft decided who would go where.

    Tom Brady may have finished the 2016 season with 28 touchdowns and two interceptions, but his 40th birthday is in August. It probably wouldn’t be smart for a team at the top of the draft order to scoop him up, especially considering that’s a roster that likely isn’t a single player away from being a Super Bowl contender.

    But how young does a team like the Cleveland Browns need to go? Should Aaron Rodgers not be a top-three pick just because he turns 34 in December? He’s still Aaron freakin’ Rodgers.

    Let’s play out the scenario and see. I used the latest Super Bowl odds on Bovada to determine the order, which puts the Browns up first:

    1. Cleveland Browns — Andrew Luck

    There’s really no clear-cut choice for the first pick. While Luck hasn’t been as convincing as a franchise quarterback in the last two seasons, he’s still one of the NFL’s best and has had to deal with a poor cast around him in Indianapolis. He’ll turn 28 early in the 2017 season, giving the Browns plenty of time to give him a winning unit to work with.

    2. San Francisco 49ersMarcus Mariota

    In his second NFL season, at only 23 years old, Mariota posted a 95.6 passer rating. He’s efficient, dynamic, and intelligent, and probably would’ve been the Browns’ pick if it wasn’t for injuries that ended his first two years prematurely.

    3. New York JetsDerek Carr

    Like the Browns and the 49ers, the Jets need to build for the future and don’t make much sense as a landing spot for one of the more seasoned veterans. With Carr they get a 26-year-old ascending talent who has improved in each of his first three seasons.

    4. Los Angeles Rams — Dak Prescott

    This is a boom-or-bust selection and it feels really early, but it sets the Rams up with the 2016 Offensive Rookie of the Year who turns 24 later this month. The question is how much the dominant offensive line of the Cowboys and the help of Ezekiel Elliott helped Prescott during his remarkably efficient rookie season. Todd Gurley should help that transition, though.

    5. Chicago Bears — Matthew Stafford

    It feels like Stafford has been in the NFL forever, but he’s still just 29 and has consistently put together 4,000-yard seasons year after year.

    6. Jacksonville Jaguars — Russell Wilson

    The Jaguars really don’t need a ton to be a Super Bowl contender and that makes it a tempting landing spot for one of the passers in their mid-30s. Wilson’s still just 28, though, and has proven himself as a winner even if Seattle hasn’t done a good job protecting him.

    7. Buffalo Bills — Kirk Cousins

    Buffalo already has the rushing game in place, so just getting a passer who can move the chains and avoid mistakes should get the Bills offense clicking. Opinions of Cousins are all over the place, but Buffalo’s a comfortable landing spot.

    8. Los Angeles ChargersJameis Winston

    Winston’s best days are still ahead of him and he could be in line for a breakout season in 2017. Giving the 23-year-old Keenan Allen, Mike Williams, and Travis Benjamin to work with could be a good situation for the Chargers for years to come.

    9. Detroit Lions — Aaron Rodgers

    With the young-franchise-quarterbacks-of-the-future tier mostly pilfered through, Rodgers is finally off the board.

    10. Philadelphia EaglesMatt Ryan

    The reigning MVP just turned 32 and led the Falcons to the Super Bowl. He might need a Julio Jones to get the job done in Philadelphia, but the team has a lot of pieces in place and Alshon Jeffery is plenty dangerous.

    11. Washington — Cam Newton

    Newton was an MVP a year ago, but finished near the bottom of the NFL in passer rating in 2016. In reality, he’s somewhere in between and still just 28. He’s a player that can be built around for the future.

    12. Miami DolphinsCarson Wentz

    After bursting out of the gates as a rookie, Wentz came back down to Earth in the latter half of the season. There are a lot of kinks to work out with Wentz, but that’s supposed to be Adam Gase’s specialty.

    13. Cincinnati BengalsAndy Dalton

    After five straight winning seasons, Dalton posted a losing record with the Bengals for the first time in 2016. At 29, he’s a known commodity at this point, but he’s been fine for Cincinnati and getting him at No. 13 is just fine.

    14. Baltimore RavensJoe Flacco

    The AFC North is looking pretty similar with the Ravens also retaining their quarterback. When things are right around Flacco, he’s already shown he can win a Super Bowl. That’s about as much as you can ask for at this point in the order.

    15. Tennessee TitansTyrod Taylor

    The Titans have a lot of positive things in place, but losing Mariota is a tough pill to swallow. Taylor is a player who doesn’t make many mistakes and can allow the Tennessee offense to lean on its rushing attack.

    16. New Orleans SaintsJimmy Garoppolo

    Garoppolo is easily the most coveted backup in the NFL after spending two seasons behind Tom Brady and filling in briefly in 2016. Durability is a question as is, uh, everything about him. But it’s a good risk for the Saints to take.

    17. Tampa Bay BuccaneersSam Bradford

    The Buccaneers have looked on the verge of a breakout season, but Jameis Winston has been a tad too inconsistent in his first two NFL seasons. Bradford has much less upside, but he is consistent.

    18. Arizona CardinalsMitchell Trubisky

    There’s a good chance Arizona would’ve drafted a quarterback in April if they didn’t get scooped by the Chiefs and Texans. Now in the re-draft they get the first rookie quarterback off the board, although the team may be better off finding a bridge starter to give Trubisky time to adjust to the NFL.

    19. Indianapolis ColtsRyan Tannehill

    This might actually be a steal for the Colts in the latter half of the draft. He’s about to turn 29 and hasn’t made much of an impact in the NFL, but he hasn’t been terrible either.

    20. Minnesota Vikings — Eli Manning

    Now we’re getting into the tier of proven quarterbacks nearing the end of their career and young quarterbacks who haven’t proven much yet. At age 36, Manning falls in the former, but has been a pretty consistent and reliable player who shouldn’t have trouble being the same for Minnesota.

    21. Kansas City Chiefs — Patrick Mahomes

    Like the Bengals and the Ravens, the Chiefs get the same guy. The team needs a young passer to build around, although getting Mahomes without Alex Smith means the Chiefs will probably want to pick up a cheap veteran to start while the Texas Tech product comes along.

    22. Carolina Panthers — Deshaun Watson

    Watson and Mahomes are close to an equal value, so the two players going back-to-back makes sense. While Watson isn’t Newton, he can be a threat in a backfield with Christian McCaffrey in many of the same ways, albeit at a much less dangerous level.

    23. New York Giants — Tom Brady

    Finally Brady is off the board and he goes to the team that cost him two more Super Bowl rings. At 40 years old, the Giants aren’t going to have him long, but the team’s defense and offensive weapons mean Brady should be able to compete for another ring right away.

    24. Denver BroncosAlex Smith

    There are better quarterbacks out there, but Smith is just fine and he’s 33. The Broncos can lean on their elite defense and hope Smith is good enough to take the team to the top in the next few seasons.

    25. Houston Texans — Ben Roethlisberger

    At 35, Roethlisberger probably should’ve gone ahead of the likes of Manning, Brady, and Smith, but he sounds closer to considering retirement than any of them. There’s a good chance the Texans only get one year out of Roethlisberger, but at least they’re set up to make it a good one.

    26. Atlanta Falcons — Drew Brees

    Brees is another player whose play could drop off a cliff really soon and leave the team without a quarterback. But he’s a player who can take the Falcons back to the Super Bowl in 2017 and he has a win under his belt.

    27. Pittsburgh Steelers — Jared Goff

    The No. 1 pick in 2016 didn’t show much as a rookie and it certainly doesn’t feel like there’s much optimism around him. But getting a top pick in his second season isn’t a raw deal by any stretch for the Steelers.

    28. Oakland Raiders — Blake Bortles

    The Raiders took Derek Carr a round after the Jaguars took Bortles and its been a hell of a bargain. If things went the opposite for Oakland, well ... yikes. Is Bortles salvageable? Maybe, but so far in his career he’s thrown 51 interceptions and the Raiders will probably have to deal with turnovers with Bortles at the helm.

    29. Seattle Seahawks — Paxton Lynch

    The Broncos took Lynch in the first round a year ago and still don’t really know what they have in him. He didn’t look good, but pickings are getting slim at this point for the Seahawks.

    30. Dallas Cowboys — Carson Palmer

    This sure looks like the last year for Palmer, and the Cowboys are a team that can get a lot out of it.

    31. Green Bay Packers — Cody Kessler

    In eight starts for the Browns in 2016, Kessler was 0-8 but he actually wasn’t that bad. Six touchdowns and two interceptions is a better statline than most rookies would’ve posted in that situation. Green Bay can attempt to groom Kessler into something to work with.

    32. New England PatriotsTeddy Bridgewater

    The Patriots might as well take a shot on Bridgewater at this point. It’s a bad situation for the team, but Bill Belichick will probably find a way, right? Or maybe land USC’s Sam Darnold, somehow. Things always work out well for New England.

  2. It's the off-season sure, but Luck #1? He flashed early but hasn't excited me too much lately.

    Tom Brady at 23 - ha ha.

  3. #3
    Quote Originally Posted by Enon Bengal View Post
    It's the off-season sure, but Luck #1? He flashed early but hasn't excited me too much lately.

    Tom Brady at 23 - ha ha.
    He has had crap around him lately. Based on age and talent I think Carr would go #1 if the current contract was null for each player.

    Cousins at 7 is a joke. Cousins = Dalton.

  4. #4
    I actually think these rankings are fairly decent. I'd take Luck 1st too personally.

    Rodgers should be higher. Winston should be a few spots higher. Same with some of the other older QBs (Brady, Brees, Rivers, Big Ben).

    Cousins, Taylor, Bradford and a few others should be lower.

    But I think they're basically in the right ballpark in terms of where these guys would go in a draft if they were all making the same amount of money and you had them under contract for a while.

  5. #5
    Luck is uber-talented but he throws a lot of picks - still, I think he's up near the top for sure. Same with Carr. I think it's way too early to anoint Dak, just as it's too early to put Goff near the bottom. And i wouldn't be surprised if Wentz was the best of those three before it's all over.

    Agree Cousins is too high and I'd put Rogers near the top. He's the best in the league and I think he's got some very good years left, especially with healthy receivers coming back.


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