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Thread: The Good, the Bad and the 49ers - Week 6

  1. #1
       
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    The Good, the Bad and the 49ers - Week 6

    This is a game the 49ers deserved to lose. The offense was horrific aside from three big plays and they were undisciplined racking up 15 penalties. But they pulled it out thanks to a smothering red zone defense, great special teams and an amazing 4th quarter drive featuring 8 runs and one clutch pass (we won't mention that the drive was aided by the officials giving the 49ers 5 extra yards).

    To steal a phrase from Hoser, I am guardedly giddy. The 49ers are 5-1 and could easily be 6-0 or 3-3. They have faced the worst part of their schedule and come out way ahead. Football Outsiders has them ranked #2 for overall team DVOA.

    But good lord, that offense. It is not good.

    The Good

    Andy Lee: 9 punts net yards 48, 39, 40, 40, 41, 43, 39, 43, 36. Those are NET yards. Four punts inside the 20 and 1 touchback on a 60 yard punt.

    Andy Lee is the MVP of the 49ers as well as the Strangest Looking NFL Player. Seriously, he looks like an elf.

    Alex Smith on 4th and 6: That throw to Delanie Walker was perfect. Perfect timing, perfect placement. If Alex had been off a hair on that throw the 49ers lose the game.

    The Defense: against one of the league's most potent offenses the defense played a great game. As usual, they gave up a ton of yards between the 20's but in the red zone they were vicious. Some stats from Matt Maiocco:
    --The Lions converted just 2 of 15 third-down attempts. If you don't have a calculator handy, that's 13.3 percent.
    --The 49ers allowed just 4.4 yards per pass attempt, as they sacked quarterback Matthew Stafford five times. Stafford was sacked just six times in the Lions' first five games.
    --The Lions had 16 possessions, and only one of those drives lasted longer than 3:05. Ten times the 49ers held the Lions to one first down or fewer, including eight possessions without a first down.
    Another note on the defense from Michael Erler:
    Defensively, the staff saw that Stafford gets rid of the ball too quickly, too often to make blitzing him worthwhile, and that most of Detroit’s big plays happened when their opponents brought pressure. So the Niners gambled… by not gambling. As Harbaugh noted during his Monday presser, the 49ers didn’t bring more than a four man rush on any of the Lions’ 78 plays from scrimmage. They just played their nickel defense pretty much the whole game, with two-man over help from the safeties (Donte Whitner and Dashon Goldson was each responsible for half the field) and let Bowman cover the back and Patrick Willis cover tight end Brandon Pettigrew.
    Special Teams: Unbelievable. They consistently gave the Lions bad field position and the 49ers good field position. You could argue that the defense and special teams were responsible for 14 of the 49ers 25 points. The safety was 2 points. Three times the D/ST left the 49ers in FG range to start a drive. All three times the 49ers' offense went three-and-out and Akers kicked a field goal. That's eleven points. The final touchdown drive started on the Lions' 35 thanks to a great Ginn return and the zebras. Split that TD between the D/ST and the pathetic offense.

    The Bad

    Andy Lee had to punt 9 times.

    Alex Smith the rest of the game: 16/31, 125yds, 1 INT. That's the QB's stat line minus the heroic 4th and goal pass. Ye gods, not even JaMarcus Russell would consider that acceptable. The AYPA was 1.91 - that means the average result of an Alex Smith pass attempt was 1.91 yards.

    Penalties: 15 penalties for 120 yards. A team that wins based on not making mistakes can't do that.

    The officiating: Absolutely inexcusable and may well have cost the Lions the game. The only good thing the zebras did was to ignore the ridiculous Calvin Johnson rule on both Lions' TDs.

    and the 49ers

    Alexcuses: As usual, Alex had some solid excuses for his horrible stat line. There was nothing he could have done to avoid KVB's strip-sack. He hadn't even started his reads when KVB was on him. Delanie Walker dropped a beautiful pass that would have been a touchdown. Crabtree's inability to count to two (as in two feet in) negated another TD pass.

    Frank Gore: In Fantasy Football Gore did fantastic: 15 carries, 141 yards, 1 TD. But nearly 100 yards came on two carries. For the rest of the game he was 13 carries for 45 yards and a fumble. Gore either ran into the guards' ass and fell down or else he gained 40 yards.

    Harbaugh: A great win was marred by a rookie challenge (even a goofball like me knows you can't challenge a scoring play this year) and the post-game brouhaha. Yes it was blown out of proportion but Harbaugh still acted like a douche (note: Stanford was rated the 5th douchiest college in the country).

    -----------------------------------------------------------------------

    You might notice I included Alex Smith in all three categories. I did this on purpose because I feel Alex has been the quintessential 49er during his tenure in San Francisco. Great potential, flashes of brilliance and then the boneheaded, game killing mistakes. That's been the whole team over the last 6 years.

    Today Alex made the boneheaded mistakes but he made up for them in the end. Just like the rest of the team has been doing all year and did in this game.

    As a side note, after watching the film (h/t Mike Singletary), Alex Smith was consistently locking his front leg on throws. That likely was causing his passes to sail high. If an ignorant guy like me can see that I'm sure the 49ers coaches can see it. I'm thinking this will be corrected during the bye week. What was really weird is Alex generally had good protection all game. In the first 5 games Alex was doing great despite horrible pass protection. When he finally got good protection he had his worst game of the season.

    Side note #2: This is the first year since 2002 that the 49ers are favored over the bye week. Damn that feels good.

  2. #2
       
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    The offense is bad. Real bad.

    But the defense is awesome.

    And the best thing about Vanilla Singletary is that he doen't panic. He knows Alexcuses can't win the game by flinging it, and that his best shot is to run the ball and wear out the opponent team. His D will keep him close in games.
    “Never ascribe to malice that which can adequately be explained by incompetence.”
    ― Napoleon Bonaparte

  3. #3
    Andy Lee is the bomb.
    Like I typed in the game thread...I'm taking the training wheels off of my optimism for this team. I'm no longer guarded but full blown giddy. If the other shoe didn't drop in this game (down 10, on the road, more penalties than they should be able to recover from, -2 in turnovers) then I don't see it dropping until January @ Lambeau or NO. They had no business winning that game...and yet...they did. There's something happening here. And what it is...ain't exactly clear.
    I'm tempted to start envisioning playoff seeding scenarios but that would be premature.

    Again...Aldon Smith has been a pure delight to watch these past few weeks. Hommie is the real deal. Team him up with Hunter and that is one heck of a draft class. I'm glad they didn't trade those picks for an over the hill, never really better than pretty good QB with a bum elbow from Cincy.
    If the 49'ers success offends you...so be it.
    Namaste...*****es.

  4. #4
       
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    I was so PO'd about the draft. I hated every pick. I mean hated. I thought Baalke was the biggest bum on the planet.

    Aldon Smith - candidate for RotY
    Chris Culliver - already claimed the nickle CB spot and has looked solid
    Kendall Hunter - seems like every time he touches the ball he gets a big play
    Bruce Miller - great hands, solid blocker
    Ronald Johnson - Hah! I was right! Baalke IS a bum.

    Good thing I'm not a GM, eh?

  5. #5
    You forgot to mention Colin Kaepernick...for whatever THAT's worth. Not horrendous but not exactly making me call for Alex Smith's walking papers...which says alot.

    How on earth did I forget to mention Culliver in my draft class kudos? That dude is solid. Me likey.

    Do you think if Aldon finishes with over 10 sacks that he can get legitimate run at ROY?
    If the 49'ers success offends you...so be it.
    Namaste...*****es.

  6. #6
       
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hoser View Post
    Do you think if Aldon finishes with over 10 sacks that he can get legitimate run at ROY?
    He has some tough competition. The writers always love offense over defense and if Dalton, AJ Green and Cam keep it up one of them will be a shoe-in. But Harbaugh's three-hour practice model in training camp may have given Aldon an edge in avoiding the rookie wall. It sure is helping the rest of the team in 4th quarters.

  7. #7
    Excellent diagnosis of the 49ers "wham" play that gave the Lions fits on Sunday. When I call the 9ers the San Francisco Schembechlers, this is one of the reasons why. I've seen this play more times than I'd care to count. This is classic, smashmouth, old school Michigan Football. Vanilla Singletary appears to have passed his Jedi training.

    Bastard shoulda come home to the Maize & Blue...
    Screw you guys, I'm going home.

  8. #8
    Quote Originally Posted by msclemons View Post
    He has some tough competition. The writers always love offense over defense and if Dalton, AJ Green and Cam keep it up one of them will be a shoe-in. But Harbaugh's three-hour practice model in training camp may have given Aldon an edge in avoiding the rookie wall. It sure is helping the rest of the team in 4th quarters.
    So how many sacks would he need to win the ROY? 15?
    If the 49'ers success offends you...so be it.
    Namaste...*****es.

  9. #9
    Quote Originally Posted by GoBigOrGoHome View Post
    Excellent diagnosis of the 49ers "wham" play that gave the Lions fits on Sunday. ...
    Grantland.com did a nice write-up on this the othe rday with grainy but informative pictures to boot.
    Whoops...didn't realize there was a link embedded. You know of which I type.
    Last edited by Hoser; 10-20-2011 at 09:13 PM.
    If the 49'ers success offends you...so be it.
    Namaste...*****es.

  10. #10
       
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    You know, I had a giant brain spasm and forgot they split RotY into Offense and Defense.

    I can't think of any other rookie defender that is close to Aldon Smith right now.

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